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Department of Health and Human Services
Council on Graduate Medical Education

Figure 4A-Generalist Physician Supply in Patient Care Under Various Mix Scenarios 

This set of line graphs compare the COGME requirements for physician generalists with various projections of physician supply under various specialty mix scenarios. It shows that if no change occurs in the generalist-specialty mix of the current supply (30 percent generalists-70 percent specialists), the generalist supply will remain below the midpoint of the requirements range throughout the period 2000 to 2020. Increases in the percentage of generalists to 50 percent or above without reduction in total numbers of residents would result in rapid increases in the generalist physician to population ratio, exceeding the requirement range by the year 2010.

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